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Explainer | Donald Trump says China runs the Panama Canal. Is he right?


While US President Donald Trump has claimed China “operates” the Panama Canal – an allegation that has stirred controversy, as the president has proposed putting the canal back under US control – the reality is far more complicated than the highly charged rhetoric would suggest.

To help understand why the canal has become a point of geopolitical contention, we examine China’s investments and involvement with the waterway – and the country in which it resides.

Why does the Panama Canal matter?

The Panama Canal is one of the most critical waterways on the planet, providing a short cut between the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. Every year, about 5 per cent of global trade is estimated to flow through the canal’s locks.

For China, it serves as an essential link to Latin America, shortening shipment time and easing the movement of goods to and from markets in the Western Hemisphere.

Between October 2023 and September 2024, the Panama Canal Authority generated US$3.38 billion in revenue, with China accounting for 21.4 per cent of the cargo volume transiting the route. This made it the country with the second-highest proportion of trade moving through the waterway.

That second place spot is a distant one, however. As a short cut linking the east and west coasts of the United States, the Panama Canal holds strategic importance for the country, and is the preferred route for many of its energy shipments. Nearly 75 per cent of the canal’s cargo traffic originates from or is destined for the United States.

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