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Potential cyclone over Arabian Sea expected to emerge along Sindh coast tonight: PMD – Pakistan


A potential cyclone that has developed over the Rann of Kutch in India is likely to emerge along the Sindh coast late tonight or tomorrow morning, the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) said on Thursday.

According to a PMD alert issued at 10am today, a deep depression over the Rann of Kutch has very slowly moved west/southwest over the last 12 hours and now lies around 270 kilometres east/southeast of Karachi.

“The system is likely to move west/southwestwards & emerge into northeast Arabian Sea along Sindh coast by late night/ tomorrow morning,” the statement read.

It added that due to “favourable environmental conditions”, the system is likely to intensify into a cyclonic storm by tomorrow and initially move in a west/southwest direction.

According to Zoom Earth’s live radar, the system has a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours.

Under the system’s influence, widespread rain and thunderstorms, along with isolated heavy rainfall, are expected till August 31 with occasional gaps in the Karachi division as well as Tharparkar, Badin, Thatta, Sujawal, Hyderabad, Tando Muhammad Khan, Tando Allahyar, Matiari, Umerkot, Mirpurkhas, Sanghar, Jamshoro, Dadu and Shaheed Benazirabad districts.

This satellite image captured at 9:30am on Aug 29, 2024 shows a deep depression developing over the northeast Arabian Sea. — PMD

Sea conditions are likely to remain very rough with squally winds of 50 to 60 km/hour, the PMD alert warned. It advised fishermen not to venture into the sea till August 31.

“PMD’s cyclone warning centre in Karachi is monitoring the system and will issue the update accordingly,” the statement said. “The concerned authorities are requested to keep them abreast through PMD advisory.”

The powerful weather system made its presence felt early on Tuesday morning with a windstorm and heavy showers lashing Karachi, disrupting life and damaging civic infrastructure.

The PMD’s forecast of up to 200mm of rain in Karachi and 500mm in other cities in Sindh has kept the authorities on their toes to take urgent measures to deal with the potential risk of urban flooding.

“It’s been raining since last three days and in the next few hours, it is expected that there will be heavier rainfall with strong winds,” Karachi Mayor Murtaza Wahab said as he urged people to avoid unnecessary movement.

Code of Criminal Procedure (CrPC) to “avoid any untoward incident of drowning and to save precious lives of the general public”.

The notification highlighted that sea conditions were “likely to remain rough to very rough, with squally winds of 50-60km/hour”.

It added that the South district commissioner had suggested imposing the ban “given the expected rough sea conditions, which may endanger the lives of people intending to visit the beach for swimming or those involved in fishing activities in the open sea”.

The Keamari DC also “reported high tides and turbulent waves in the Arabian Sea”, the notification stated.

Commissioner Naqvi also empowered the station house officers concerned to register cases under Section 188 of the Pakistan Penal Code against those who violate the ban.

Meanwhile, Sindh Chief Minister Murad Ali Shah ordered the local administration and all relevant departments to remain vigilant.

“All necessary preparations needed to deal with any emergency situation should be completed,” CM Murad was quoted as saying in a statement issued by his spokesperson Abdul Rasheed Channa.

The chief minister also directed the health department to ensure that the province’s hospitals “improved their arrangements”. He also issued instructions to the fisheries department regarding fishermen’s safety amid “extraordinary sea conditions”.

“Continue monitoring the rivers, streams and other water passages,” CM Murad ordered the water department.

In the 24 hours up to 8am today, the Tharparkar district received the highest amount of rainfall in Sindh — 347 millimetres across seven tehsils — the PMD said in an update.

Karachi recorded a cumulative 190mm of rain with Surjani Town receiving the highest amount (30mm).

Mirpurkhas district witnessed 143mm of rain while Hyderabad and Badin got a close 116mm and 112mm, respectively.

According to the Met Office, the maximum wind speed was recorded at Masroor Base (67km/hour) and Faisal Base (52km/hour).

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